Open-access Disparities in lung cancer case registration, treatment, and mortality: descriptive study, Brazil, 2013-2019

Disparidades en el registro, en el tratamiento y en la mortalidad por cáncer de pulmón: estudio retrospectivo analítico, Brasil, 2013-2019

Abstract

Objective:   To analyze factors associated with lung cancer case registration, treatment and mortality in Brazil, 2013-2019.

Methods:  This was a retrospective study using the Brazilian Mortality Information System (Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade - SIM) and the Hospital Cancer Registries (Registros Hospitalares de Câncer - RHC). Outcomes analyzed were: (Model 1) "absence of lung cancer case registration" in the RHC, and (Model 2) "rate of registered cases above the 3rd quartile." Descriptive and bivariate analyses were performed to compare groups, as well as multivariate logistic regression, identifying, at the municipal level, factors associated with the outcomes. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were obtained.

Results:  A total of 206,703 deaths and 89,265 cases (43% coverage) were analyzed. Approximately 85.7% of patients were diagnosed at a late stage, and half of the cases with initial staging did not receive adequate treatment. In Model 1, a lack of RHC coverage was associated with municipalities in the Central-West region compared to those in the North [OR 3.9; 95%CI 2.7; 5.7] and with those having a Gross Domestic Product below the national average [OR 1.3; 95%CI 1.1; 1.7]. In Model 2, municipalities in the South [OR 9.1; 95% CI 6.8; 12.2], small-sized municipalities [OR 7.1; 95%CI 4.0; 12.3], and those with below-average travel distances for treatment [OR 4.2; 95%CI 2.3; 7.7] had increased odds of a high registration rate.

Conclusion:  Localities with better infrastructure were more likely to register cases and have greater coverage of registries, while areas with poorer infrastructure were more likely not to register cases, despite presenting deaths due to lung cancer.

Keywords:
Lung Neoplasms; Mortality Registration; Hospital Cancer Registries; Socioeconomic Health Disparities; Retrospective Studies.

Resumo

Objetivo:   Analisar fatores associados ao acesso do registro de casos, as características do tratamento e a mortalidade por câncer de pulmão de 2013-2019 no Brasil.

Métodos:  Estudo retrospectivo utilizando o Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade (SIM) e Registros Hospitalares de Câncer (RHC). Desfechos analisados: (Modelo-1) "ausência de registro de caso de câncer de pulmão" no RHC e (Modelo-2) "taxa de casos registrados acima do 3º quartil". Realizou-se análises descritivas e bivariadas, para comparar os grupos, e regressão logística multivariada, identificando-se, no nível municipal, fatores associados aos desfechos, obtendo-se a razão de chance ajustada (odds ratio, OR) e o intervalo de confiança de 95% (IC95%).

Resultados:  Analisou-se 206.703 óbitos e 89.265 casos (43% de cobertura). Cerca de 85,7% dos pacientes foram diagnosticados tardiamente, e metade dos casos com estadiamento inicial não recebeu tratamento adequado. No Modelo-1, a não cobertura do RHC foi associada a municípios do Centro-Oeste em comparação ao Norte [OR 3,9; IC95% 2,7; 5,7] e ao Produto Interno Bruto abaixo da média nacional [OR 1,3; IC95% 1,1; 1,7]. No Modelo-2, a maior chance de alta taxa de registro ocorreu em municípios do Sul [OR 9,1; IC95% 6,8; 12,2], de pequeno porte [OR 7,1; IC95% 4,0; 12,3] e com deslocamento para tratamento abaixo da média nacional [OR 4,2; IC95% 2,3; 7,7].

Conclusão:  Localidades com melhor infraestrutura apresentaram maior probabilidade de registrar casos e ter maior cobertura de registros. Já áreas com menor infraestrutura apresentaram maior probabilidade de não registrar casos, apesar de apresentarem óbitos por câncer de pulmão.

Palavras-chave:
Neoplasias pulmonares; Registros de Mortalidade; Sistemas de Iinformação em Saúde; Disparidades Socioeconômicas em Saúde; Estudos Retrospectivos.

Resumen

Objetivo:  Analizar los factores asociados al acceso al registro de casos, a las características del tratamiento y a la mortalidad por cáncer de pulmón entre 2013 y 2019 en Brasil.

Métodos:  Estudio retrospectivo utilizando el Sistema de Información sobre Mortalidad (SIM) y los Registros Hospitalarios de Cáncer (RHC). Se analizaron los siguientes desenlaces: (Modelo 1) "ausencia de registro de caso de cáncer de pulmón" en el RHC y (Modelo 2) "tasa de casos registrados por encima del 3er cuartil". Se realizaron análisis descriptivos y bivariados para comparar los grupos, y regresión logística multivariada, identificándose, a nivel municipal, los factores asociados a los desenlaces, obteniéndose la razón de momios ajustada (odds ratio, OR) y el intervalo de confianza del 95% (IC95%).

Resultados:  Se analizaron 206.703 defunciones y 89.265 casos (43% de cobertura). Aproximadamente 85,7% de los pacientes fueron diagnosticados en etapas avanzadas, y la mitad de los casos con estadificación inicial no recibió el tratamiento adecuado. En el Modelo 1, la falta de cobertura del RHC se asoció con municipios de la región Centro-Oeste en comparación con la Norte [OR 3,9; IC95% 2,7; 5,7] y con producto interno bruto por debajo del promedio nacional [OR 1,3; IC95% 1,1; 1,7]. En el Modelo 2, la mayor probabilidad de una tasa alta de registro se observó en municipios del Sur [OR 9,1; IC95% 6,8; 12,2], de pequeño porte [OR 7,1; IC95% 4,0; 12,3] y con desplazamiento para tratamiento por debajo del promedio nacional [OR 4,2; IC95% 2,3; 7,7].

Conclusión:  Localidades con mejor infraestructura presentaron mayor probabilidad de registrar casos y tener mayor cobertura de registros, mientras que áreas con menor infraestructura presentaron mayor probabilidad de no registrar casos, a pesar de registrar defunciones por cáncer de pulmón.

Palabras clave:
Neoplasias Pulmonares; Registros de Mortalidad; Sistemas de Información en Salud; Disparidades en el Estado de Salud; Estudios Retrospectivos.

Ethical aspects

This research used public domain anonymized databases.

Introduction

According to global estimates for 2022, lung cancer is the most lethal, with 2.2 million new cases and 1.8 million deaths per year 1. In Brazil, it is estimated that there will be 30,000 new cases annually during the 2023-2025 triennium 2.

Smoking is a significant risk factor for developing the disease, with approximately 85% of cases associated with tobacco use. For this reason, Brazil's main public policy aimed at reducing lung cancer mortality consists of anti-smoking initiatives 3.

Overall, diagnosis occurs at advanced stages, and survival rates are low. Nearly 85% of patients present with locally advanced or metastatic disease (stages III and IV, respectively) at the time of diagnosis 4. Lung cancer has nonspecific symptoms, which makes early-stage diagnosis particularly challenging 5. This issue highlights barriers to accessing oncology services and reveals shortcomings in their availability and quality 6.

Currently, there is a movement toward implementing lung cancer screening in Brazil, since this would be a viable strategy for detecting the disease at earlier stages and, consequently, reducing mortality 7.

The distribution of imaging equipment and specialized treatment centers is uneven across the country, which has consequences for the health outcomes of individuals living in different locations 8. Evidence from the international literature shows that unfavorable sociodemographic and economic characteristics are associated with lower survival rates and a worse prognosis 9. However, in Brazil, knowledge on this topic remains scarce.

Thus, the objective of this study was to analyze access to case registration, treatment characteristics, and mortality due to lung cancer between 2013 and 2019, investigating associated factors.

Methods

Study Design

This was a retrospective study using secondary national databases: censuses from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - IBGE), data from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the Brazilian Mortality Information System (Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade - SIM), and the Hospital Cancer Registries (Registros Hospitalares de Câncer - RHC). Data triangulation was conducted at the municipal level, utilizing the IBGE identification code. Lung cancer cases from the RHC were selected based on place of residence and identified using code C34 of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision (ICD-10). Analyses were stratified by population size and macroregion: small (<100,000 inhabitants), medium (100,000-400,000 inhabitants), and large (>400,000 inhabitants).

Variables

1) Sociodemographic indicators, estimated from the 2010 demographic census - IBGE and UNDP: gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in 2019; education level (percentage of people aged 25 years or more with up to 8 years of schooling); urbanization (percentage of the municipal population living in urban areas); life expectancy.

For supplementary health coverage, data from the Brazilian National Agency for Supplementary Health were used, which reflect the percentage of the population covered by private health plans, as of June 2019.

Primary health care coverage was obtained from the e-Gestor AB system, and supplementary health coverage was obtained from the Brazilian Beneficiary Information System. The number of physicians per 1,000 inhabitants was also obtained from the Brazilian Beneficiary Information System.

2) Lung cancer cases registered in the RHC between 2013 and 2019 and clinical indicators: advanced stage (percentage of individuals with stages III and IV); Missed opportunity instead of loss (percentage of patients with early stage who did not undergo surgery or radiotherapy); timely treatment (percentage of individuals who began treatment within 60 days after diagnosis) 10; commuting (percentage of patients treated outside their municipality of residence); age; percentage of patients: White, with higher education, diagnosed without treatment, undiagnosed and untreated, and treated.

For the calculation of timely treatment, the most favorable criterion was adopted to define the date of first contact with the service (date of first consultation or date of screening test, whichever was earliest). Patients not eligible for treatment due to a lack of therapeutic possibility were excluded from this analysis.

3) Characterization of lung cancer deaths recorded in the SIM from 2013 to 2019, with calculation of lung cancer mortality rate per 100,000 inhabitants: mean age; percentage of male deaths; percentage of deaths among individuals with higher education.

The period from 2013 to 2019 was chosen due to the consistency and high data quality in the RHC, and to avoid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on both health services and care-seeking patterns 11.

Correction methods for both SIM and RHC have been detailed in a previous article 4.

Statistical methods

To identify factors associated with disparities in case and death registration, the outcome "absence of lung cancer case registration" in the RHC was analyzed using a multivariate logistic regression model (Model 1). To characterize access to treatment and aspects of its quality in the RHC, after sensitivity analysis, the outcome "rate of registered lung cancer cases above the 3rd quartile" was selected for the period 2013-2019, based on the estimated 2019 population and municipality of residence, using multivariate logistic regression (Model 2).

In the descriptive and bivariate analyses, exposure variables were characterized by their mean, standard deviation, minimum, and maximum values, according to the categories of each outcome.

For continuous exposure variables, Student's t-test was applied (p-value<0.05), using SPSS v21, followed by dichotomization into "0" and "1."

The reference category for each variable was based on the national average: if the variable was higher in category "1" of the outcome, it was coded as "above the national average." All exposure variables, therefore, had "above the national average" as the reference category, except for the percentage of White lung cancer patients (RHC), mean age (RHC), percentage of patients with higher education (RHC), mean age (SIM), and primary health care coverage. Unadjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were presented, indicating increased odds compared to the reference value.

During model construction, coverage rates were initially targeted. After iterative sensitivity analyses, two final models were obtained, adjusted for statistically significant variables within the theoretical explanatory model of access. Thus, adjusted ORs were estimated: in Model 1 using the enter method, and in Model 2 using stepwise backward selection.

Databases were processed using Python v3.7, and statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS v21.

Figure 1
Municipalities with no recorded lung cancer deaths in the Mortality Information System (SIM) (A); number of cases recorded in the Hospital Cancer Registry (RHC) relative to the number of lung cancer deaths in the SIM (B); lung cancer registration rate per 100,000 inhabitants (RHC) (C); lung cancer mortality rate per 100,000 inhabitants (SIM) (D). Brazil, 2013-2019

Results

After correction, 206,703 deaths from lung cancer were recorded in Brazil between 2013 and 2019, with a mortality rate of 99.4 per 100,000 inhabitants. The highest mortality rate was observed in the South region (161.7 per 100,000), nearly three times higher than that of the North (54.8 per 100,000), the lowest in the country (Figure 1).

Correction percentages in the SIM were: 0.03% for sex, 2% for age, 2% for garbage codes, 6% for ill-defined causes, and 4.7% for underreporting. Although small, these corrections were important for improving the completeness of information; corrections to staging in the RHC were crucial, preventing 32% of data loss.

Sociodemographic indicators by region and population size showed pronounced disparities and gradients within each region. The average GDP per capita of large municipalities in the North and Northeast was equivalent to that of small municipalities in other regions, revealing a wide disparity in financial, human, and infrastructure resources. In terms of health indicators, primary health care coverage ranged from 61.4% in large municipalities to 93.7% in small ones, while supplementary health coverage was inversely distributed (Table 1).

During the same period, 89,265 lung cancer cases were recorded in the RHC, with over 80% of patients starting treatment within 60 days of diagnosis; however, the majority (85.7%) had advanced-stage disease. In the North, more than 50% of patients with early-stage disease did not undergo surgery or radiotherapy as first treatment (Table 2).

The RHC recorded approximately 43% coverage of lung cancer cases compared to SIM deaths ("RHC/SIM coverage"), evidencing a significant gap between registered cases and lung cancer deaths.

The Central-West region, particularly Goiás, had the highest number of municipalities with recorded lung cancer deaths but no cases registered in the RHC. States with the lowest "RHC/SIM coverage" (<25%) were Goiás, Amazonas, and Acre. Regarding registration rates in the RHC and mortality in the SIM, municipalities with higher rates were mainly located in the South and Southeast regions (Figure 1).

In the bivariate analysis, municipalities with "absence of case registration" (Model 1 outcome) presented worse sociodemographic and health indicators. In contrast, those with lung cancer registration rates above the 3rd quartile (Model 2 outcome) had higher sociodemographic indicators compared to the others, in addition to lower percentages of advanced-stage disease, displacement, and patients diagnosed but untreated (Table 3).

In the multivariate logistic regression (Model 1), municipalities in the Central-West region, compared to those in the North, were more likely to have no lung cancer cases registered in the RHC. This outcome was also associated with municipalities that had a higher percentage of deaths outside the Brazilian National Health System (SUS) (private sector), a percentage of individuals with higher education (SIM) below the national average, and primary health care coverage above the national average (Table 4).

In Model 2, variables associated with higher odds of the outcome were: residing in the South region; being a small municipality; and commuting below the national average. One of the highest adjusted ORs observed in Model 2 was for the variable "intermunicipal commuting for treatment," with municipalities being 4.2 times more likely to have high registration rates when displacement percentages were below the national average (Table 4).

White individuals, those with higher education, older adults, and those living in localities with better infrastructure for diagnosis and treatment had higher odds of lung cancer cases being registered above the 3rd quartile (Table 4).

Table 1
Distribution of lung cancer deaths and sociodemographic indicators by region and municipal size. Brazil, 2013-2019

Table 2
Distribution of lung cancer cases, case registration rates, and clinical and sociodemographic indicators by region and municipal size. Brazil, 2013-2019

Table 3
Mean and standard deviation of the bivariate analysis for the outcomes: absence of lung cancer cases in the municipality recorded in the Hospital Cancer Registry (RHC) relative to deaths recorded in the Mortality Information System (SIM) (Model 1), and lung cancer registration rate above the 3rd quartile (67.8) in the RHC (Model 2). Brazil, 2013-2019

Table 4
Odds ratio (OR), adjusted odds ratio, and confidence intervals (95%) of the multivariate logistic regression models for the outcomes: absence of lung cancer cases in the municipality recorded in the Hospital Cancer Registry (RHC) relative to deaths recorded in the Mortality Information System (SIM) (Model 1), and lung cancer registration rate above the 3rd quartile in the RHC (67.8) (Model 2). 2013-2019

Discussion

In Brazil, the highest lung cancer mortality rates are recorded in the South region, reaching up to three times those observed in the North. Furthermore, notable discrepancies are observed in the sociodemographic indicators of the North and Northeast regions compared to other regions, stratified by population size. It is also noteworthy that half of the patients diagnosed at early stages were unable to undergo the recommended treatment, and the vast majority were diagnosed at late stages. Additionally, localities with better infrastructure were more likely to have higher lung cancer registration rates, access to treatment, and greater "RHC/SIM coverage." In comparison, areas with poorer infrastructure were more likely not to register cases, despite recording deaths from lung cancer.

This study stands out for its innovation, as it is the first to analyze RHC/SIM coverage and its associated factors, as well as to contribute to the development of methodologies for data correction in the aforementioned databases. Regarding the study's limitations, the use of secondary data is noted, whose inferences are restricted to the variables available in the databases, which may exhibit incompleteness and inconsistencies. In this study, these issues were minimized by applying the corrections outlined in the methodology. Also, underreporting and differences in data collection across municipalities may occur. Finally, registration rates were calculated using the RHC, since there are no population-based databases with sufficient coverage and scope to calculate national incidence rates. Although the databases include only the public sector, the SUS (Unified Health System) has broad population coverage, particularly for cancer diagnosis and treatment. Therefore, the absence of data from the private sector does not significantly compromise the conclusions presented here 12.

The findings of this study align with those reported in the literature, where RHC coverage outcomes relative to SIM and RHC registration rates exhibit the same uneven distribution pattern in access to health services, considering regional development and municipal population size across the country 13,14.

Access to treatment for individuals residing in small-sized municipalities in the South and Southeast regions was favored compared to those in large-sized municipalities, based on the finding of a significant difference between the crude OR and the adjusted OR for the variables "country region" and "population size" after modeling.

Data from the Brazilian National Health Survey (Pesquisa Nacional em Saúde - PNS) confirmed these findings 15, as they show that residents of the South and Southeast regions have greater access when compared to those from other regions, as well as individuals with higher levels of education. Other studies have pointed to significant differences in the availability of health services across Brazil, such as higher proportions of medical consultations in the South and Southeast, in addition to higher Human Development Index values 13. Meanwhile, the North and Northeast regions have lower sociodemographic indicators than those found in the other regions of the country 13,14.

A negative correlation was observed between lung cancer case registration rates and commuting time between the place of residence and the treatment center. It is hypothesized that municipalities with greater diagnostic and treatment capacity are those with better infrastructure for case registration. Furthermore, it was observed that, regarding geographical distribution, there is significant variability in the availability of accredited cancer treatment services, with the North region exhibiting the lowest installed capacity. Consequently, the distances traveled by patients living in rural areas, given Brazil's territorial dimensions, significantly compromise access to services 6.

The findings of this study align with others in the literature, where socioeconomic factors and healthcare service availability determine inequalities in the distribution of lung cancer mortality rates. On the other hand, cancer stage at diagnosis is more closely associated with individual socioeconomic factors and tumor characteristics 16.

It is noteworthy that municipalities with a percentage of White individuals and higher education attainment below the average had higher odds of exhibiting a recorded rate above the 3rd quartile. Studies have shown that Black individuals face higher rates of lung cancer and different outcomes. The persistence of systemic and structural racism significantly contributes to these inequalities, which are associated with multiple factors that affect racial and ethnic groups 17. Higher education levels are associated with reduced smoking prevalence and greater success in quitting, which decreases the likelihood of lung cancer development 4.

In the United States, cancer patients from rural areas and those with lower socioeconomic status face greater barriers to accessing treatment. Furthermore, these localities present higher cancer rates associated with modifiable risk factors, such as smoking 18.

In Brazil, the organization of healthcare services is a challenge, particularly in oncological care, as efficient coordination and collaboration among all levels of care is essential, along with a well-defined and regulated referral network for users. A study found that only 63% of the 27 Brazilian states had implemented their State Oncology Care Plans, and among these, most were not in compliance with established guidelines. Besides, states in the South and Southeast regions showed greater progress in developing and implementing these plans compared to those in the North and Northeast 19.

A promising alternative to facilitate patient access in the United States has been the use of satellite chemotherapy clinics, aimed at reducing the distance traveled to obtain treatment 18.

The proportion of patients who began treatment within the legal timeframe (60 days) 10 was 80%. Nonetheless, more than 85% of individuals were diagnosed at advanced stages 20. From the individual's perspective, this translates to worse survival outcomes, as the one-year survival rate is 63.5% when diagnosed at early stages, compared to 26.0% when diagnosed at advanced stages 20. For the health system, such a high rate of late diagnoses indicates significant delays and inefficiencies in the diagnostic process 21.

Factors associated with late diagnosis include disease pathophysiology, characterized by nonspecific symptoms that only manifest at advanced stages 3; shortcomings in medical training, which may lead to difficulties in interpreting radiological findings 22; the limited capacity and financial and human resources of the health system, which can delay diagnostic testing 4,20; and individual characteristics, such as perceptions and beliefs, stigma related both to smoking and to cancer, and fear of diagnosis, which may lead to delays in seeking care 23. In addition, in the Brazilian context, there is no national lung cancer screening policy, despite international recommendations 7.

In this study, the South region had the highest lung cancer rates in the country. Possible explanations for this result include longer life expectancy, lifestyle habits, particularly smoking, as well as better service structure and diagnostic capacity. Consequently, a greater number of diagnoses are observed, which may lead to increased registrations in official databases 24.

Municipalities where primary health care coverage is below the national average have higher odds of having recorded cases above the 3rd quartile. This inverse association can be explained by the fact that oncology services are concentrated in large urban centers, which generally have low primary health care coverage 25.

Despite the alarming global incidence and mortality figures for lung cancer 1, a decline in cancer cases and deaths has been observed for several types of cancer in regions with higher Human Development Index and better access to health services 14. Simultaneously, there is an increase in cases in regions with worse sociodemographic indicators, particularly for cancers associated with poverty, such as stomach, cervical, penile, and oral cavity cancers 26. This trend may reflect the impact of both socioeconomic inequalities and disparities in access to health services 14.

A significant proportion of individuals diagnosed at early stages did not undergo the recommended treatments of surgery and/or radiotherapy. In the North region, this proportion reached more than half of the cases. It is well known that Brazil has insufficient radiotherapy equipment and workforce 27. In terms of access to surgical treatment, it is a priority to adopt strategies that facilitate patient access to surgical procedures, improve professional training, enhance the safety of these procedures, and integrate surgical centers with units that perform other treatment modalities, such as chemotherapy and radiotherapy, thereby promoting comprehensive oncological care 28.

Probable factors affecting surgical access include socioeconomic disparities, comorbidities, advanced age, and the geographical distribution of healthcare services 3. With respect to human resources, it is noteworthy that thoracic surgeons are concentrated in the central-south regions of the country and in large cities 29. Consequently, even if the absolute number were adequate, their distribution would still be disproportionate, as medium-sized municipalities and densely populated regions in the Central, North, and Northeast of Brazil lack adequate coverage 3. This situation is concerning, as longer time intervals for performing surgical procedures as the initial treatment are directly associated with decreased overall survival in lung cancer 30.

Considering the findings on factors associated with case registration access, treatment characteristics, and lung cancer mortality, it is concluded that both service infrastructure and socioeconomic indicators were relevant for high lung cancer registration rates, access to treatment, and greater case coverage relative to deaths. Conversely, areas with poorer infrastructure in terms of high-complexity services were more likely not to register cases, despite recording deaths from lung cancer.

Therefore, the results reflect the pattern of inequalities found in the country, the reduction of which is challenging. Since services with higher technological complexity are concentrated in certain regions, regulatory and contractual processes are crucial to ensure comprehensive access to cancer treatment. In addition to aspects related to the existence of infrastructure, it is necessary to create and implement strategies for training professionals in oncology and disseminating best practices in cancer care, enabling the expansion of timely access to diagnosis and treatment.

Given the presented scenario, it is suggested that future studies address the linkage of available data, analysis of patient therapeutic itineraries, and the impact of adopting screening strategies, including eligibility criteria.

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Edited by

Data availability

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    12 June 2026
  • Date of issue
    2026

History

  • Received
    10 Feb 2025
  • Accepted
    19 Aug 2025
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