Open-access Prevalence of Brazilian children and adolescents meeting recommended aerobic fitness criteria: a systematic review update for the Report Card Brazil Project

Prevalência de crianças e adolescentes brasileiros que atenderam aos critérios recomendados para aptidão aeróbica: uma atualização de revisão sistemática para o Projeto Report Card Brasil

Abstract

Abstract  This study aimed to update the Brazilian evidence on the prevalence of children and adolescents who met the health-related criteria for aerobic fitness. This systematic review is part of the Report Card Brazil Project, and the search for relevant information was conducted in nine databases, limited to the period from January 2020 to January 2025. Studies with different designs were included, provided they allowed the extraction of prevalence data for children and adolescents (aged up to 19 years or with a mean age up to 19 years) who met the health criteria for aerobic fitness. A total of 501 articles were identified, and six studies were included based on their compliance with the eligibility criteria. The prevalence of children and adolescents classified as meeting health-related criteria for aerobic fitness was 43.68% (29.81% for males and 28.55% for females). Regarding age groups, children (six to nine years) showed higher prevalence rates of adequate aerobic fitness (61.02%; n = 1,088) compared to adolescents (10 to 17 years) (31.42%; n = 1,075). When comparing the current findings with those of the previous systematic review from this project, a 62.32% improvement was observed in the prevalence of children and adolescents classified as meeting health criteria for aerobic fitness (26.9% in the previous review). However, despite this increase, more than half of the investigated children and adolescents still do not meet the health criteria for aerobic fitness.

Key words:
Adolescent health; Brazil; Child health; Oxygen consumption; Physical fitness


Resumo

Resumo  O objetivo deste estudo foi atualizar as evidências brasileiras sobre a prevalência de crianças e adolescentes que atendem aos critérios de saúde para a aptidão aeróbica. Esta revisão sistemática integra o Projeto Report Card Brazil, e a busca por informações sobre o tema foi realizada em nove bases de dados, limitada ao período de janeiro de 2020 a janeiro de 2025. Foram incluídos estudos com diferentes delineamentos, desde que permitissem a extração de informações sobre a prevalência de crianças e adolescentes (com idade até 19 anos ou média de idade até 19 anos) que preenchiam os critérios de saúde para a aptidão aeróbica. Identificaram-se 501 artigos, dos quais seis foram incluídos por atenderem aos critérios de elegibilidade. A prevalência de crianças e adolescentes classificados com base em critérios de saúde para a aptidão aeróbica foi de 43,68% (29,81% no sexo masculino e 28,55% no sexo feminino). Quanto à faixa etária, crianças (de seis a nove anos) apresentaram maiores prevalências de aptidão aeróbica adequada (61,02%; n = 1.088) em comparação aos adolescentes (de 10 a 17 anos) (31,42%; n = 1.075). Ao comparar os resultados desta revisão com os da revisão sistemática anterior do mesmo projeto, observou-se uma melhora de 62,32% na prevalência de crianças e adolescentes classificados conforme os critérios de saúde para aptidão aeróbica (26,9% na revisão anterior). No entanto, apesar desse avanço, mais da metade das crianças e adolescentes avaliados ainda não atende aos critérios de saúde para a aptidão aeróbica.

Palavras-chave:
Saúde do adolescente; Brasil; Saúde da criança; Consumo de oxigênio; Aptidão física


INTRODUCTION

Aerobic fitness is a key health marker for children and adolescents and is considered a relevant indicator of cardiovascular disease risk1. A secular trend study compiled data from 965,264 children and adolescents across 19 countries between 1981 and 2014, identifying a moderate decline of 7.3% in aerobic fitness over the period. Additionally, the decline was found to be greater among male adolescents than females, while patterns were similar between children and adolescents2. It was also observed that countries with more equitable income distribution exhibited more favorable patterns of aerobic fitness2.

In Brazil, a study involving 11,083 children aged six to nine years identified that approximately 8,866 of them, equivalent to nearly 80%, exhibited low levels of aerobic fitness between 1999 and 2010, with these results remaining consistent throughout the investigated period. Low aerobic fitness levels were more prevalent among children older than six years, those living in economically more developed regions of the country, in rural areas, and among those classified as overweight3.

The Report Card Brazil: Health Indicators for Children and Adolescents initiative has gathered information on the proportion of Brazilian children and adolescents meeting recommended levels of aerobic fitness4. The first review, which compiled data from 2005 to 2017, found that 67.8% of participants did not meet health-related criteria, with a slight difference between sexes (female: 71.6%; male: 72.3%)4. An update covering 2018 and 2019 revealed that 73.1% of children and adolescents failed to meet aerobic fitness recommendations. The prevalence of this outcome was higher among females (70.1%) compared to males (55.4%)5. These data reinforce the downward trend in meeting aerobic fitness guidelines over the decades. Moreover, the findings highlight sex-based disparities and suggest a potential association with various factors, particularly economic ones5.

In 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declared the COVID-19 pandemic, which led to substantial changes in the daily routines of children and adolescents. One of the most significant impacts was a reduction in physical activity levels. A systematic review identified a 20% decrease in the duration of total daily physical activity, with a larger reduction observed for higher-intensity activities, corresponding to a decline of 17 minutes in daily moderate-to-vigorous physical activity among children and adolescents6. Given the direct relationship between physical activity and aerobic fitness (i.e., greater physical activity leads to increased cardiovascular demand and cardiorespiratory system stimulation), it is plausible to infer that the prevalence of meeting aerobic fitness recommendations may also have been affected during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Therefore, the objective of the present study was to update the Brazilian evidence on the prevalence of children and adolescents meeting health-related aerobic fitness criteria and to determine whether changes occurred after the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings of this study may inform the development of school-based physical activity programs aimed at promoting regular aerobic activity, especially in the post-pandemic context, guide public health policies, and support the monitoring and assessment of children’s and adolescents’ health.

METHOD

This systematic review is part of the research project Report Card Brazil: Health indicators for children and adolescents (4th edition). The macro-project protocol is registered on an open access platform and can be accessed at Silva et al.7. The method followed complies with the recommendations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement.

Information sources

This systematic search is an update of the study by Martins et al.5 which contributed to the third edition of the Report Card Brazil: Health Indicators for Children and Adolescents project. At that time, the literature review included studies available in pre-selected databases up to December 20195. Therefore, the current review covered the period from January 2020 to January 2025. The search was conducted in nine databases: (1) Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), via PubMed; (2) Web of Science (Core Collection); (3) Scopus; (4) ScienceDirect; (5) MEDLINE, via EBSCOhost; (6) SportDiscus, via EBSCOhost; (7) Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS), via the Virtual Health Library (VHL); (8) Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO), via Web of Science; and (9) Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), via EBSCOhost.

Search strategy, descriptors, and keywords

The search for articles in the selected databases was conducted using the advanced search tool, based on the construction of keyword and descriptor blocks related to the topic. Descriptor selection was guided by consultation with the Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and Health Sciences Descriptors (DeCS) platforms. Keywords were also selected through consensus based on published sources, including original and systematic review articles. Depending on the database, descriptors and keywords were entered in Portuguese, English, or Spanish.

The first block (outcome) included terms related to aerobic fitness: “physical fitness”, “aerobic capacity”, “aerobic fitness”, “cardiorespiratory capacity”, “cardiovascular fitness”, “aerobic power”, “aerobic endurance”, “cardiorespiratory endurance”, “oxygen consumption”, “maximum oxygen consumption”, “maximal oxygen uptake”, and “VO2 maximal”. The second block referred to the target population (children and adolescents): child*, schoolchildren, adolescent*, student, teen, teenager, young, “school-age”, childhood, scholar, “school children”, and “school teenager”. The third block included terms related to the location of the studies: Brazil*.

The Boolean operator “OR” was used to combine at least one keyword or descriptor from each block, while “AND” was used to connect the blocks. Quotation marks were applied for multi-word terms and to search for exact phrases. Parentheses were used to group terms by category (outcome, exposure, population), and the asterisk was applied to search for all word derivatives from the same prefix.

Eligibility criteria

The inclusion criteria were as follows: (a) studies involving a population composed of children and/or adolescents (aged 0 to 19 years or with a mean age up to 19 years); (b) studies conducted with samples of Brazilian children and/or adolescents; and (c) studies with cross-sectional, longitudinal, case-control, or randomized controlled trial designs that allowed for the extraction of data on the prevalence of children and adolescents meeting health-related criteria for aerobic fitness (based on cut-off points, tertiles, quartiles, or other forms of categorization using any physical fitness test battery).

The exclusion criteria were: (a) athletes (members of competitive sports teams); (b) children and/or adolescents with special needs (diagnosed with acute or chronic diseases, physical or intellectual disabilities); (c) theses, dissertations, monographs, abstracts, book chapters, opinion or review articles, validation and/or reliability studies, and studies aimed at determining cut-off points; and (d) studies that did not present numerical data classifying individuals according to aerobic fitness (such as the number or prevalence of fit and/or unfit individuals, regardless of the classification criteria used).

Study selection

Two reviewers (CASAJ and PCM) independently screened each database to identify potentially relevant articles. After retrieving the records, duplicate entries were removed. Subsequently, titles and abstracts were screened to exclude studies that did not meet the eligibility criteria. The remaining articles were read in full to determine final inclusion. In addition, reference lists of the included studies were examined to identify potentially eligible studies not retrieved through the initial database search. Disagreements between the two reviewers were resolved through consensus meetings. When necessary, a third reviewer (DASS) was consulted to resolve unresolved disagreements.

The Zotero® reference management software, version 5.0 (Roy Rosenzweig Center for History and New Media, Fairfax, Virginia, USA), was used to create specific libraries, enabling the identification and removal of duplicates as well as the organization of search results from each database.

Data extraction

Data were extracted independently by two reviewers (CASAJ and PCM), and consistency between their extractions was verified. The following information was collected: authors’ names, year of publication, methodological quality score, study location, investigated age group, study population and sample, study design, stratification, test used to estimate aerobic fitness, estimated aerobic fitness measure (e.g., VO2max, VO2peak, number of laps), cut-off point, and the physical fitness test battery used to classify aerobic fitness and estimate the prevalence or number of individuals meeting recommended criteria for aerobic fitness.

Methodological quality/Risk of bias

Methodological quality/risk of bias were independently assessed by two reviewers (CASAJ and PCM). This assessment was conducted using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) quality assessment tool for observational cohort and cross-sectional studies8. Disagreements between reviewers regarding the evaluation of any study were resolved through consensus meetings, and if disagreement persisted, a third reviewer (DASS) was consulted. This tool is designed to support the evaluation of internal validity by identifying potential sources of selection, information, and measurement bias, as well as confounding. It includes 14 criteria to assess risk of bias and methodological quality, such as whether the study population was clearly specified and defined. Each criterion was rated as “Yes” (Y), “No” (N), “Not Reported” (NR), or “Not Applicable” (NA). The option “NR” was used when no relevant information was provided in the study, while “NA” was selected when the criterion could not be evaluated due to the study design8.

RESULTS

A total of 501 articles were identified, of which 43 were duplicates, resulting in 458 records. After screening titles and abstracts, 447 studies were excluded, and 11 full-text articles were assessed for eligibility. Of these, six studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review. Reference lists of the included articles were also screened, but no additional studies were identified for inclusion (Figure 1).

Figure 1
Flowchart of article identification, screening, and exclusion.

The characteristics of the six studies included in the review are presented in Table 1. One study was conducted in the Southeast region of Brazil, in the state of Rio de Janeiro11, while the remaining five studies were carried out in the Southern region of the country, four in the state of Rio Grande do Sul9,10,13,14 and one in the state of Santa Catarina12.

Table 1
Description of studies on the prevalence of aerobic fitness among Brazilian children and/or adolescents.

The study populations comprised individuals aged six to 17 years, and the included studies were published between 2020 and 2024. All selected studies employed a cross-sectional design9-14 (Table 1).

The prevalence of children and adolescents meeting the recommended criteria for aerobic fitness varied across studies. The lowest reported prevalence was 5.10%11 while the highest was 57.39%12. Regarding sex-specific data, the prevalence among males ranged from 5.5%11 to 46.42%12, and among females from 4.7%11 to 67.79%12. Additionally, two studies reported prevalence by age group, indicating that children showed higher levels of aerobic fitness within the recommended criteria when compared to adolescents10,14 (Table 2).

Table 2
Studies on the prevalence of aerobic fitness among Brazilian children and/or adolescents.

Overall, 43.68% of Brazilian children and adolescents were classified as meeting the recommended criteria for aerobic fitness. Among the studies that presented data stratified by sex11-13, 29.81% of males and 28.55% of females met the recommended aerobic fitness standards. Furthermore, two studies presented results stratified by age group10,14. In both studies, children (61.02%; n = 1,088) had higher prevalence rates of adequate aerobic fitness compared to adolescents (31.42%; n = 1,075) (Table 2).

Aerobic fitness was assessed using various field tests, including the six-minute walk/run test10, the nine-minute walk/run test11-13 and the 20-meter shuttle-run test9. Different cut-off points were identified in the reviewed literature. The most frequently used criterion was from the 2009 PROESP-BR15, applied in two studies11,13. (Tables 2 and 3). Regarding the units used for classification, most studies (n = 5) employed meters, while only one study used peak oxygen consumption2 (Table 3).

Table 3
Cut-off points used in the included studies to identify the prevalence of adequate aerobic fitness in children and adolescents.

The methodological quality/risk of bias of the included studies are presented in Table 4. In summary, the majority of studies met the criteria outlined by the NHLBI.

Table 4
Methodological quality/risk of bias of the studies.

DISCUSSION

The present study identified a prevalence of 43.68% of Brazilian children and adolescents meeting the health-related criteria for aerobic fitness between 2020 and 2024. This result is encouraging, as the previous review from this project reported a prevalence of 26.9%5. Regarding age groups, children showed higher prevalence rates of adequate aerobic fitness compared to adolescents. When stratified by sex, males presented slightly higher prevalence rates than females.

The increase of nearly 17 percentage points in the prevalence of children and adolescents meeting the recommended aerobic fitness criteria between 2020 and 2024 represents a relevant improvement compared to the previous edition of the Report Card Brazil project, which covered data from 2018 to 20195.This finding contradicts the initial hypothesis of the present study, which anticipated a decline in aerobic fitness levels due to lifestyle changes brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, such as school closures, mobility restrictions, and suspension of organized sports6,19. However, upon analyzing the data sources of the studies included in this review, it was found that Brand et al.10 used data collected between 2014–2015 and 2016–2017. Similarly, Franceschin and Veiga11 analyzed data from 2010, Borges et al.12 used data from 2015, and Saldanha-Filho et al.13 collected data between 2011 and 2012. Sehn et al.14 used data from 2016–2017, and the data collection period for the study by Bagatini et al.9 was not identified. Therefore, although there has been progress in the publication of studies on aerobic fitness, there are notable gaps in the scientific literature addressing critical population periods, such as the COVID-19 pandemic or recent changes in aerobic fitness trends among Brazilian youth.

Despite the overall improvement observed over the analyzed period, more than half of Brazilian children and adolescents still do not meet the recommended criteria for aerobic fitness. These findings may be limited by the geographic concentration of studies in the state of Rio Grande do Sul and by the lack of data from other regions, affecting national representativeness. Combined with the high prevalence of physical inactivity and sedentary behavior, this scenario raises significant concerns from a public health perspective20,21.

Among the studies reviewed, two stratified their results by age group12,14 revealing a downward gradient in aerobic fitness with increasing age. In the study by Borges et al.12, the prevalence of low aerobic fitness increased from 46.0% (male) and 40.5% (female) among those aged 11–13 years to 59.6% and 46.6%, respectively, in the 14–17-year group. A similar pattern was found in the study by Sehn et al.14, although different fitness tests were used. In this case, the proportion of adolescents classified with healthy fitness declined from 73.6% (10-12 years) to 42.7% (13-17 years), reaching only 29.5% in the 14-17 age group. These findings indicate a progressive decline in aerobic fitness during adolescence, with a more pronounced trend beginning at the onset of puberty. This pattern underscores the importance of age-specific stratification in studies on physical fitness, as the changes observed do not occur linearly but intensify during specific stages of pubertal development22.

Marked differences between pre-adolescents (aged 10-12 years) and older adolescents (aged 13-17 years) have been reported in the literature but may be obscured in analyses that do not apply stratification14. Additionally, risk factors change across maturational stages, with puberty introducing alterations in body composition and energy metabolism that affect each age group differently23,24. Therefore, the systematic adoption of detailed age stratification and its standardization in population-based studies is essential to identify critical intervention periods and to design targeted strategies appropriate for each stage of adolescent development.

Regarding sex-stratified values, the present review found that 29.81% of males and 28.55% of females met the health criteria for aerobic fitness. Although the absolute difference between sexes is small, this finding reinforces previous literature indicating a global trend of better cardiorespiratory test performance among males compared to females2,4,5. Biological, behavioral, and sociocultural factors contribute to this disparity. From a biological perspective, males tend to have greater muscle mass, higher maximal oxygen uptake (VO2max), and lower body fat percentage after the onset of puberty, which directly influences aerobic performance2,24. Behaviorally, previous studies have shown that boys participate more frequently in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, particularly through team sports and active play, whereas girls tend to engage in lighter or intermittent forms of physical activity25. Moreover, sociocultural barriers, such as gender norms, stigmas associated with female participation in sports, limited opportunities for girls, and family expectations, also negatively affect girls’ engagement in more intense physical activities25. This combination of factors results in a lower proportion of females meeting aerobic fitness criteria, underscoring the need for public policies, school-based strategies, and community interventions that consider gender-specific aspects in the promotion of physical activity among children and adolescents.

Although various cutoff points were identified in the reviewed literature, the PROESP-BR criteria remained the most frequently used, having been adopted in four of the six analyzed studies10,11,13,14. This prevalence reflects its broad acceptance within the Brazilian school context, where it was originally validated. However, recent studies have incorporated additional criteria, such as Bagatini et al.9 used the reference values proposed by Tomkinson et al.15, which are notable for their large sample size (over one million participants), while Borges et al.12 applied parameters developed by Silva et al.17, specifically designed to identify cardiometabolic risk in adolescents. These variations in reference standards reflect not only methodological differences but also distinct evaluative focuses. While PROESP-BR emphasizes educational fitness classification, Silva et al.17’s criteria are linked to health outcomes, and Tomkinson et al.15 provide a broad population-level perspective. Although such diversity enriches the field, future studies should clearly justify the selection of cutoff points, considering the study population and the comparability with existing literature.

The absence of longitudinal studies represents a major gap in the literature on aerobic fitness among Brazilian children and adolescents. Most investigations conducted in the country rely on cross-sectional designs, which, while useful for estimating prevalence, limit the understanding of individual trajectories during growth and biological development5. This limitation hinders the identification of temporal patterns and stronger determinants related to the maintenance or decline of aerobic fitness. Longitudinal studies are essential to detect critical transitional periods, such as puberty, during which interventions may be more effective26,27. Furthermore, the lack of national cohorts with repeated measures of aerobic performance complicates the development of evidence-based public policies and the evaluation of health promotion programs during childhood and adolescence. The implementation of regular fitness surveillance systems, such as those already established in countries like Canada and Finland, is recommended to address this gap and support more effective actions in the Brazilian context26.

This systematic review has certain limitations that should be considered. The heterogeneity among the included studies, such as differences in age groups, sample sizes, test protocols, and cutoff points used to assess aerobic fitness, may partially affect the estimated national prevalence of children and adolescents meeting aerobic fitness recommendations. Furthermore, some studies did not report prevalence estimates for the total sample or stratified by sex, which influenced the overall calculation for the Report Card Brazil project. Despite these limitations, the study presents notable strengths, including a comprehensive search strategy encompassing nine different databases and the inclusion of studies rigorously peer-reviewed using a methodological quality assessment tool. This approach allowed for the evaluation of both internal and external validity of the included studies.

CONCLUSION

This review represents an update of the study by Martins et al.5 and aimed to describe the aerobic fitness profile of Brazilian children and adolescents based on studies published in the past five years. In summary, the findings indicate that only half of Brazilian children and adolescents met the health-related criteria for aerobic fitness, with even more concerning results observed among females and adolescents. Various cutoff points and three different test protocols were used to assess aerobic fitness. Additionally, the present review identified a lack of studies assessing aerobic fitness in children and adolescents from the North and Northeast regions of Brazil during the investigated period.

  • How to cite this article
    Martins PC, Alves Junior CAS, Silva AF, Lima TR, Santiago LN, Pedroso MS, Farias JM, Silva DAS. Prevalence of Brazilian children and adolescents meeting recommended aerobic fitness criteria: a systematic review update for the Report Card Brazil Project. Rev Bras Cineantropom Desempenho Hum 2026, 28:e108149. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-0037.2026v28e108149
  • Funding
    This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in thepublic, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. This study was funded by the authors.
  • Data Availability Statement
    Research data is only available upon request.
  • Ethical approval
    This research is in accordance with the standards set by the Declaration of Helsinki.

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Edited by

  • Scientific Editor:
    Kelly Samara da Silva

Data availability

Research data is only available upon request.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    22 May 2026
  • Date of issue
    2026

History

  • Received
    28 July 2025
  • Accepted
    11 Mar 2026
Creative Common - by 4.0
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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