A perspectiva de dirigentes sindicais do setor metalúrgico brasileiro sobre a Indústria 4.0

Muniz Junior, Jorge; Martins, Fernando Ramalho; Santos, João Paulo de Oliveira; Wintersberger, Daniel

doi:10.1590/1806-9649-2022v29e5422

person Jorge Muniz Junior

design · data collection · analysis · literature background

schoolUniversidade Estadual Paulista - UNESP, Guaratinguetá, SP, Brasil. E-mail: jorge.muniz@unesp.br; fernando.martins@unesp.br; joao.oliveira-santos@unesp.br

0000-0003-3496-0256

person Fernando Ramalho Martins

design · data collection · analysis · literature background

schoolUniversidade Estadual Paulista - UNESP, Guaratinguetá, SP, Brasil. E-mail: jorge.muniz@unesp.br; fernando.martins@unesp.br; joao.oliveira-santos@unesp.br

0000-0002-8032-9361

person João Paulo de Oliveira Santos

data collection · analysis

schoolUniversidade Estadual Paulista - UNESP, Guaratinguetá, SP, Brasil. E-mail: jorge.muniz@unesp.br; fernando.martins@unesp.br; joao.oliveira-santos@unesp.br

0000-0003-1094-6484

person Daniel Wintersberger

literature review

schoolUniversity of Birmingham, Birmingham, Midlelands, United Kingdom. E-mail: d.wintersberger@bham.ac.uk

0000-0001-8280-0666

groupsAuthors contribution

Jorge Muniz Junior and Fernando Ramalho Martins were responsible for design, data collection, analysis and literature background. João Paulo de Oliveira Santos was responsible for data collection and analysis. Daniel Wintersberger was responsible for literature review.

Organization	Estimates
University of Oxford	47% of workers in America at high risk of having jobs replaced by automation
PricewaterhouseCoopers	38% of jobs in US, 30% of jobs in UK, 21% in Japan and 35% in Germany at risk of automation
ILO (Chang and Huynh)	ASEAN-5: 56% of jobs at risk of automation in next 20 years
McKinsey	60% of all occupations have at least 30% technically automatable activities
OECD	OECD average: 9% of jobs at high risk. Low risk of complete automation but an important share (between 50 and 70%) of automatable tasks at risk
Roland Berger	Western Europe: 8.3 million jobs lost in industry against 10 million new jobs created in service by 2035
World Bank	Two-thirds of all jobs in developing countries are susceptible to automation

size of the company where the respondents work (Sebrae, 2013)^a	Localization	Time of working in the company [years]	Function	time as union leader [in years]
Medium	Southeast	14	Machine operator	8
Medium	South	8	Machine operator	4
Large	Southeast	31	Machine operator	7
Medium	Southeast	21	Senior assembler	16
Medium	North	10	Assembler assistant	8
Large	Southeast	15	Assembler	7
Medium	Southeast	20	Machine operator II	8
Medium	Southeast	11	Machine operator	6
Medium	Southeast	15	Tailor	12
Small	Southeast	21	-	5

[1] Source:IndustriALL Global Union (2017, p. 7).