Open-access Exploring the influence of electoral political orientation on health outcomes: a scoping review

Explorando a influência da orientação política eleitoral nos resultados de saúde: uma revisão de escopo

Influencia de la orientación política electoral en los resultados de salud: una revisión de alcance

Abstract

Political orientation has been linked to short-term health outcomes, yet its long-term effects remain underexplored. Given the influence of political contexts on health, understanding these associations is crucial for public health. This scoping review synthesizes the literature on how political orientation (reflected in voting patterns) relates to health indicators, vaccination behavior, and mental health outcomes. Following the Joanna Briggs Institute scoping review methodology and PRISMA-ScR reporting guidelines, a comprehensive search was conducted on PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, LILACS, and ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, including peer-reviewed and grey literature. A total of 53 studies met the chosen eligibility criteria. The findings show that political orientation significantly shapes health outcomes: more conservative regions show poorer general health indicators, lower vaccination rates, and higher vaccine hesitancy. Political orientation was also associated with increased anxiety, depression, and stress. The included studies employed diverse methodologies (some of which included causal inference techniques to strengthen their analysis). Overall, the results underscore the role of political context in shaping health behaviors and outcomes, emphasizing the need for public health strategies that consider these dynamics.

Keywords:
Scoping Review; Voting; Health Status Indicators


Resumo

A orientação política tem sido ligada a resultados de saúde de curto prazo, mas seus efeitos a longo prazo continuam pouco explorados. Dada a influência dos contextos políticos na saúde, compreender essas associações é crucial para a saúde pública. Esta revisão de escopo sintetiza a literatura sobre como a orientação política (refletida nos padrões de votação) se relaciona com indicadores de saúde, comportamentos de vacinação e resultados de saúde mental. Seguindo a metodologia de revisão de escopo do Instituto Joanna Briggs e as diretrizes de relatório PRISMA-ScR, uma busca abrangente foi realizada no PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, LILACS e ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, incluindo literatura revisada por pares e literatura cinzenta. No total, 53 estudos atenderam aos critérios de elegibilidade. Os resultados revelam que a orientação política influencia significativamente os resultados de saúde, com regiões mais conservadoras apresentando indicadores gerais de saúde mais baixos, taxas de vacinação mais baixas e maior hesitação vacinal. A orientação política também esteve associada ao aumento da ansiedade, depressão e estresse. Os estudos incluídos empregaram metodologias diversas, algumas das quais usaram técnicas de inferência causal para fortalecer suas análises. No geral, os resultados ressaltam o papel do contexto político na formação dos comportamentos e resultados de saúde, enfatizando a necessidade de estratégias de saúde pública que considerem essas dinâmicas.

Palavras-chave:
Revisão de Escopo; Votação; Indicadores de Saúde


Resumen

La orientación política se ha relacionado con resultados de salud a corto plazo, pero sus efectos a largo plazo siguen sin estar suficientemente estudiados. Dada la influencia de los contextos políticos en la salud, comprender estas asociaciones es fundamental para la salud pública. Esta revisión exploratoria sintetiza la bibliografía existente sobre cómo la orientación política, reflejada en los patrones de voto, se relaciona con los indicadores de salud, los comportamientos de vacunación y los resultados de salud mental. Siguiendo la metodología de revisión exploratoria del Instituto Joanna Briggs y las directrices de presentación de informes PRISMA-ScR, se llevó a cabo una búsqueda exhaustiva en PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, LILACS y ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, incluyendo la literatura revisada por pares y la literatura gris. Un total de 53 estudios cumplieron los criterios de elegibilidad. Los resultados revelan que la orientación política influye significativamente en los resultados de salud, ya que las regiones más conservadoras presentan indicadores de salud general más deficientes, tasas de vacunación más bajas y una mayor resistencia a las vacunas. Además, la orientación política se asoció con un aumento de la ansiedad, la depresión y el estrés. Los estudios incluidos emplearon diversas metodologías, y algunos de ellos utilizaron técnicas de inferencia causal para reforzar el análisis. En general, los resultados subrayan el papel del contexto político en la configuración de los comportamientos y resultados de salud, y enfatizan la necesidad de estrategias de salud pública que tengan en cuenta estas dinámicas.

Palabras-clave:
Revisión de Alcance; Votación; Indicadores de Salud


Introduction

Voting patterns serve as a significant indicator of political orientation, reflecting populations’ ideological leanings and policy preferences. While individual political beliefs can be complex, analyzing collective voting behavior concretely measures how communities position themselves along the political spectrum 1. Research has indicated that voting behavior is influenced by a combination of collective cognitive, emotional, and social factors. This reflects how stereotypes, values, and group predilections can be activated within the public sphere. As a result, voting behavior serves as a significant indicator for studying societal trends 2. This approach enables analyzing how political orientation relates to social and health outcomes. Using voting patterns as a proxy for political orientation is particularly valuable in longitudinal studies as it helps to track changes over time and across different political contexts 3.

The relationship between politics and health has gained global attention as societies increasingly recognize how political decisions affect public well-being. Since the early 2000s, interest in the influence of political leadership on health has grown worldwide as political choices shape healthcare policies, medical access, and population health outcomes 4. Political orientation significantly influences public health practices across political and economic contexts. In Europe, for example, austerity measures following the 2008 financial crisis had severe health consequences. Studies reveal that policies in countries such as Greece, Spain, and Portugal increased mortality rates and reduced healthcare access, with budget cuts disproportionately harming vulnerable populations and exacerbating health inequalities 5,6.

The connection between politics and health outcomes is evident globally. In the United Kingdom, austerity policies under conservative governments have been associated with increased mental health problems, rising suicide rates, and higher infant mortality 7. In contrast, countries with social democratic traditions, such as Sweden, consistently show better health outcomes due to their emphasis on social welfare and equitable healthcare access 8. Similarly, Japan and South Korea illustrate how stable governance and proactive public health policies contribute positively to population health. The universal healthcare and preventive policies in Japan have enhanced life expectancy and reduced infant mortality 9, whereas the effective response to COVID-19 in South Korea - via widespread testing, contact tracing, and transparent communication - resulted in comparatively low infection and mortality rates 10.

During Donald Trump’s first presidency, the United States faced major shifts in healthcare policy. A key attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA) underwent a narrow defeat in the Federal Senate, preventing Republicans from enacting broader changes to the healthcare system. The ACA, which expanded Medicaid and prohibited coverage denial for preexisting conditions, significantly improved access to medical care and helped reduce health disparities 11.

The reelection of President Donald Trump has brought significant changes to U.S. health policy, including the appointment of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a known vaccine skeptic, as Secretary of Health and Human Services. His history of promoting vaccine misinformation has raised concerns among public health experts, who fear it could erode trust in immunization programs. As part of his “Make America Healthy Again” initiative, Kennedy Jr. has prioritized chronic disease prevention by alternative nutritional guidelines. However, his endorsement of vitamins over vaccines during a recent measles outbreak has drawn criticism from healthcare professionals, who stress that such measures are unable to replace immunization 12.

In Brazil, the relationship between politics and public health gained significant attention after the 2018 presidential election, which brought Jair Messias Bolsonaro, a right-wing and far-right-aligned candidate, to power. Brazil’s vast geographic and demographic diversity has experienced notable shifts in health policy under different political administrations. Bolsonaro’s administration faced strong criticism for its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, including downplaying the virus and spreading misinformation. These actions contributed to higher mortality rates and increased vaccine hesitancy, showing the risks of political mismanagement in public health 13.

Political orientation extends beyond public policy, shaping key social determinants of health such as healthcare access, education, employment, and housing. Research has also highlighted its role in vaccination behaviors and mental health. During the COVID-19 pandemic, countries led by populist leaders who downplayed the virus saw lower vaccination rates and greater vaccine hesitancy 14,15. Brazil evinced such pattern under President Bolsonaro, in which political rhetoric significantly shaped public attitudes toward vaccination and actions during the pandemic 13,16.

Voting behavior serves as an important indicator of collective political orientation. However, it should be recognized as an outcome influenced by individual preferences and larger dynamics such as information flows, digital mobilization, and disinformation strategies 17,18. This perspective emphasizes that voting patterns stem from complex processes shaped by technological, media, and institutional contexts.

Selecting appropriate indicators is essential when examining the relationship between political orientation and health. Traditional measures such as mortality rates, chronic disease incidence, and life expectancy provide valuable data on a population’s overall health and the effects of healthcare policies on prevention and treatment. However, these indicators often take years to reflect changes, sometimes exceeding the study period 19. Mental health is equally important, with indicators such as suicide rates and diagnosed mental disorders offering critical views into the impact of social and healthcare policies. For instance, studies have noted that conservative political environments are often associated with higher stigma and reduced access to mental health services, exacerbating mental health issues 20.

Vaccination coverage is a key indicator of the effectiveness of preventive healthcare policies, reflecting community commitment to immunization and its capacity to control infectious diseases. Studies have linked political orientation to vaccination behaviors, with populist-leaning regions often showing lower vaccination rates and greater hesitancy 15. During COVID-19 pandemic, coverage became even more critical as it reflected awareness of herd immunity and a population’s resilience against public health threats. The stance of political leaders on vaccination played a significant role in shaping public perceptions and behaviors, stressing the importance of understanding these dynamics 21.

The relationship between political orientation and health outcomes is complex and extends beyond governmental actions to broader societal trends (expressed by voting patterns). This review explored how voting behaviors - representing collective political and social attitudes - impact health indicators, even when the preferred political parties or candidates are not in power. By focusing on local and regional contexts, this study investigated the correlation between these voting patterns and various health outcomes and their influence on social determinants of health. This approach shifts attention from individual political leaders to the broader community dynamics reflected in electoral behaviors, aligning itself with prior research that highlights the importance of political engagement in shaping public health independently of national policy direction 22.

This study sought to fill gaps in the scientific literature by analyzing research on the complex relationship between political orientation, health indicators, and electoral behavior. It aimed to summarize key findings, outline research characteristics, and broadly overview the current knowledge in the field. By doing so, this study contributes to evidence-based policy development and future research independent of specific national or regional contexts.

Methods

Eligibility criteria and search strategy

Global research on the relationship between political orientation, voting behavior, and health indicators was examined in this study to understand how political preferences influence health outcomes. Studies from multiple countries on local and national political contexts were included in this review to provide a comprehensive view of these complex interactions.

A review protocol was prepared for this study. It is available on the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/). The protocol can be accessed using the following identifier: https://www.doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/K8U4A. The protocol followed the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology 23 for scoping reviews and the PRISMA Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) 24. We searched the following bibliographic databases: LILACS, Embase (Elsevier), PubMed/MEDLINE, CINAHL (EBSCO), Web of Science (Clarivate Analytics), Scopus (Elsevier), Google Scholar and SciELO. To capture grey literature, we also searched ProQuest Dissertations, CAPES Theses & Dissertations Catalogue, Theses Global (PQDT Global) and the Brazilian Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (BDTD). All sources listed in Figure 1 were searched, including those yielding no records. To ensure comprehensiveness, the reference lists of each study included in this review were meticulously examined for any additional relevant research. The search keywords were categorized into “electoral behavior” and “health indicators” to maintain the focus of this study and effectively address the research question in the scoping review (Box 1). The complete search strategies for all databases can be found in the Supplementary Material (Appendix 1; https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/static//arquivo/suppl-e00051525_4228.pdf).

Figure 1
PRISMA flow diagram.

Box 1
Used search terms.

Study selection

This scoping review aimed to identify studies on the relationship between political orientation or voting behavior and health outcomes, including physical and mental health and vaccination rates. To account for recent political developments, this review included studies that were published from 2000 to 2025 without language restrictions, ensuring broad geographic coverage. Studies were excluded if they failed to directly address the political orientation-health relationship, lacked theoretical or empirical relevance, or used non-representative and biased samples. Primary research, systematic reviews, and grey literature were included from various sources, such as scientific journals, books, government reports, and academic theses, covering quantitative, qualitative, and theoretical studies. An initial pilot search (2013-2023) proved insufficient, prompting the research team to expand the timeframe to 2000-2025 for a more comprehensive review.

Summary and report of the results

After completing the literature search, all citations were compiled and deduplicated using Zotero, version 6.0.30 (https://www.zotero.org/), prioritizing entries with comprehensive information and digital object identifiers (DOIs). This resulted in 1,074 unique references and 17 additional expert-recommended articles. In total, 135 duplicates or incomplete records were removed, leaving 956 articles for screening by title and abstract. During screening, 774 articles were excluded: 19 duplicates, 23 without a DOI, and 732 that were irrelevant to the topic of this research. Thus, 182 articles were selected for full-text review. In this stage, 129 articles were further excluded for reasons that included focus on how health indicators influenced voting behaviors (n = 28), lack of open access (n = 13), or differing significantly from the objectives of this review (n = 88). The selection process was carefully monitored to ensure its quality. Ultimately, 53 studies met all inclusion criteria, directly addressing the research objectives and underlining key gaps in the literature. Figure 1 illustrates a PRISMA-ScR flow diagram 25 depicting the search process in this study.

Data charting

The selected articles are summarized in Box 2, which outlines the purpose, target groups, and contexts of each study. Additional details, including study title, keywords, journal, statistical approach, and identified gaps, are provided in the Supplementary Material (Box S1; https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/static//arquivo/suppl-e00051525_4228.pdf).

Box 2
Summary of the selected articles for this study.

Use of AI tools

During the preparation of this work, the authors used OpenAI ChatGPT 4.5 (https://openai.com) to improve the writing process. After using this tool/service, the authors reviewed and edited the content as needed, taking full responsibility for the content of this publication.

Results

Studies characteristics

A total of 53 articles were selected and organized into three categories: the relationship between political orientation and general health indicators, vaccination behaviors, and mental health outcomes. This structure explained how political factors influence various public health dimensions. Studies assessed diverse geographic contexts, mainly the United States (n = 16), Europe (n = 10), global multi-country analyses (n = 11), Brazil (n = 8), Japan (n = 1), and Australia (n = 1). Methodological approaches varied, ranging from focused analyses on vaccination or mental health to broader evaluations of general health indicators and policy impacts. Findings consistently showed that political orientation significantly affects health outcomes, with conservative-leaning regions often experiencing poorer indicators. Methodologies included regression analysis (n = 15), econometric models (n = 7), multilevel analyses (n = 5), correlation analysis (n = 4), causal inference methods such as difference-in-differences (n = 4), scoping reviews (n = 2), and mixed or other statistical approaches (n = 5). Recent studies with causal inference have furthered the understanding of how political orientation shapes public health outcomes.

Lee 26 analyzed the impact of democracy on public health across 188 countries using fixed effects, dynamic generalized method of moments, and other econometric methods. Their findings indicate that democracy is associated with lower infant mortality and higher life expectancy, although the benefits diminish in low-income countries, suggesting a threshold effect. Similarly, Siddiqi et al. 27 applied county-level fixed effects models to investigate rising mortality among White Americans from 2000 to 2016, linking these “deaths of despair” to perceptions of social status decline rather than economic hardship. That study found that counties with increasing Republican vote shares showed higher mortality rates, pointing to broader psychosocial stressors influencing health. In Brazil, Lima et al. 28 used spatial regression models to assess excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in municipalities with high support for Bolsonaro. Their results showed a clear association between political alignment and pandemic-related deaths, suggesting that political rhetoric and governance choices significantly influenced mortality outcomes. A related study by Morey et al. 29 used difference-in-differences analysis to examine the mental health effects of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Their findings evinced that White individuals in Bill Clinton-supporting states reported increased mental distress post-election, whereas English-speaking Latinx populations in Trump-supporting states experienced heightened psychological stress, threatening mental health responses. These studies provided compelling evidence that political decision-making and ideological divisions tangibly shape public health.

The chosen research included diverse populations, from general county or municipal communities to specific groups such as rural or vulnerable populations impacted by political policies. Counties and municipalities constituted the primary units of analysis - county-level studies were common in the United States, whereas municipal-level studies predominated in Brazil. This local focus could assess in detail how political orientation and voting behaviors affect health outcomes within specific geographic contexts. Selected articles emerged in prominent peer-reviewed journals, including The Lancet, the International Journal of Epidemiology, JAMA Network Open, and the American Journal of Public Health.

Political orientation and health indicators

This review found that mortality rates, self-rated health, mental health, and vaccination coverage comprised the most frequently analyzed outcomes, emphasizing the significant influence of political orientation on public health. Several studies indicated conservative-leaning regions experienced poorer health outcomes and lower vaccination rates, with notably strong associations in mental health and vaccination behaviors. Unconventional political participation was linked to poorer subjective health, although this association was weaker in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries 30. Democracy levels and public health spending also emerged as key determinants of health. Additionally, a Japanese study reported that conservatives were less likely to self-report poor health or smoking 31, whereas another study found that left-leaning and Christian democratic governments were correlated with higher life satisfaction and lower suicide rates 32.

Coleman & Andersson 33 investigated how political affiliation, ideology, and voting behavior affected health and well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic, finding that Republicans reported better self-rated health and lower distress than Democrats. A study in Türkiye 34 showed significant links between voter partisanship, employment rates, social security satisfaction, and health outcomes, emphasizing the role of inclusive policies. Another U.S study 35 explored health behaviors, noting that Democrats and liberals were more likely to smoke and consume alcohol excessively, whereas Republicans and conservatives ate fewer fruits, and vegetables, consumed more high-fat and processed foods, and engaged less actively with health-related information.

Research emphasizes that committed political leadership advocating equal healthcare access is crucial for improving national health outcomes 36. One study 37 examined how government political orientation (right, center, left) affects infant mortality via healthcare spending, finding that left-wing parties generally produced better health results. A 2015 study 38 noted higher infant mortality rates in regions with greater religiosity, correlating conservative voting with lower abortion rates, higher teen birth rates, and increased child poverty. Votes for social democratic or labor parties were associated with lower rates of low birth weight. In Ireland, left-wing voting correlated with higher health dissatisfaction and increased smoking rates.

No significant relationship emerged between standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and voting patterns for Fianna Fail and Fine Gael 39. A study explored how different political systems (social democracies vs. right-wing governments) affected mortality decline in eight European countries, finding that political systems, healthcare expenditures, and welfare structures had no significant impact in it 40. In a study in Brazil, researchers examined excess mortality in relation to voting patterns from the 2018 presidential election. Its findings indicated that municipalities with higher support for president Bolsonaro experienced higher-than-expected deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting that his rhetoric and stance against pandemic measures may have worsened mortality outcomes 28.

A series of 12 studies 26,36,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50 explored how political orientation and governance shape health outcomes. Their results consistently indicate that conservative political ideology is associated with poorer health outcomes, higher biases among medical students toward marginalized groups, and greater health inequities under neoliberal policies. Conversely, social-democratic approaches were linked to lower infant mortality, longer life expectancy, and improved health policies. Populations that experienced greater political inclusion showed reduced health disparities, whereas populist and conservative ideologies often intensified inequities. In the U.S., Republicans reported better self-rated health and lower smoking rates but counties with strong Republican support in 2016 had higher opioid usage, highlighting complex interactions between health and political beliefs.

Several studies have explored how voting patterns relate to health outcomes, especially life expectancy and overall well-being. Research in the United States found that counties with greater improvements in life expectancy had lower support for Trump in the 2016 election 51. Similarly, counties with smaller gains in life expectancy were more likely to support Republicans in 2020, with increasing life expectancy associated with higher Republican vote shares from 2016 to 2020 52. A comprehensive study 53 examining over 150 public health indicators found poorer health outcomes in Republican-voting counties, especially in battleground states and areas shifting from Democrat to Republican. Another study 54 showed that local political transitions temporarily disrupted healthcare services, negatively affecting infant health indicators such as birth weight and mortality rates.

Outside the U.S., research on Matteo Salvini’s economic policies (“Salvinomics”) suggested that these policies could increase inequality and economic instability, potentially weakening Salvini’s political support via an institutional reform 55. In Brazil, a study showed that left-wing municipalities showed higher coverage under the Family Health Program (FHP), finding no clear partisan effects for other health indicators 56.

Research also studied the transition from the Bolsonaro government to the Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva government in Brazil, focusing on the defunding and weakening of the Brazilian Unified National Health System (SUS, acronym in Portuguese) under Bolsonaro. The Lula administration rebuilt the SUS and emphasized the importance of universal health coverage. That study also explored the diffusion of social health policies, specifically the Brazilian FHP, and showed that political competition and ideology significantly influence the adoption of that FHP. Municipalities with left-wing mayors were more likely to adopt the program, showing the impact of political alignment and demographic factors on policy adoption 57,58.

Political orientation and mental health indicators

The chosen studies examined various mental health indicators and their connections to political factors. A study analyzed rising mortality rates in White Americans 27, focusing on “deaths of despair” linked to perceived threats to social status. Its findings indicated that increasing mortality rates went beyond the least educated and correlated a greater sense of social status threat with higher Republican voting shares. Another study explored the relationship between gender, political beliefs, and prosocial behavior, evincing that left-wing individuals showed higher levels of prosocial behavior than right-wing individuals, whereas women had more emotional prosocial behavior than men 59.

A study analyzed the impact of the 2020 U.S. presidential election on anxiety and depression using data from the 2020 Household Pulse Survey60. It found that moderate to severe anxiety and depression increased steadily leading up to the election and declined afterward. Another study examined the relationship between political regimes and suicide rates in Australia and the United Kingdom 61, finding higher suicide rates in conservative governments, with the effect being strongest when both national and local governments were conservative. Another study investigated the mental health effects of the 2016 U.S. presidential election on Latinx and White populations 29. It found that white individuals in Clinton-supporting states reported more poor mental health days following the election than those in Trump-supporting states. Additionally, English-speaking Latinx individuals in Trump-supporting states experienced higher-than-expected mental health distress, whereas Spanish-speaking Latinx individuals reported fewer poor mental health days.

Political orientation and vaccination

Several studies explored the relationship between political affiliation and adherence to physical distancing measures during the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on infection and fatality rates. A study in the United States found that counties that voted for Trump practiced 14% less physical distancing than those that supported Clinton 62. Political affiliation showed a stronger association with distancing behaviors than factors such as population density or median income. Additionally, reduced physical distancing in pro-Trump counties was linked to higher infection and fatality growth rates. A study in Italy analyzed the impact of political orientation on adherence to social distancing measures using province-level geolocation data 63. Its findings revealed that provinces with stronger support for extreme right-wing parties and higher protest votes had lower compliance with social distancing measures. In contrast, provinces with greater support for the Five Star Movement showed higher adherence. That study concluded that political beliefs and public discontent played a significant role in shaping compliance with government-imposed lockdown measures.

Several studies examined factors influencing vaccination beliefs, compliance with COVID-19 measures, and the role of political affiliation in public health behaviors. A study on Ohio Appalachian (United States) parents found that 47% believed they should have the right to refuse mandatory school vaccinations, with political affiliation significantly shaping these attitudes 64. Another study on mask-wearing behavior in the U.S. during the COVID-19 pandemic showed that health-conscious behaviors were positively associated with mask use, whereas environmental factors had a negative influence on it 65. Counties with higher percentages of Democratic voters showed higher mask-wearing rates. New indices assessing the effectiveness of government responses to COVID-19 highlighted a positive relationship between policy efficiency, institutional quality, and public health spending, while economic inequality was negatively correlated with policy success 66.

Political affiliation also played a crucial role in adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions, with Republican affiliation linked to lower compliance. Additionally, science-related populism significantly impacted confidence in COVID-19 and measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccines, and government handling of the pandemic shaped public trust in vaccination efforts. That study also found that science-related populism significantly impacted people’s confidence in COVID-19 and MMR vaccinations. Additionally, it noted that government management of the pandemic and political factors significantly influenced public confidence in COVID-19 vaccines 67,68. Social, economic, and racial disparities were also associated with higher COVID-19 infection rates, with states that had larger Republican voting shares experiencing worse outcomes. A study of Florida counties (United States) found that higher proportions of Black and Hispanic residents, combined with larger Republican vote shares, were linked to higher infection and mortality rates 69,70. In Brazil, an analysis of COVID-19 mortality rates showed that municipalities with greater support for Bolsonaro had higher mortality rates 71. The study also noted that population mobility played a key role in disease transmission, whereas political denialism failed to significantly impact complete vaccination rates.

Impact of health on political orientation

This study focused on how political orientation influences health outcomes (rather than the opposite) to assess the extent to which ideologies, party affiliation, and governance shape health behaviors, policies, and system outcomes. This approach helped this research to avoid conflating causality in bidirectional relationships. While this systematic analysis excluded research on health as a determinant of political behavior, it included some references for context. The broader literature acknowledges that health disparities can influence political behavior, such as voter turnout and policy preferences. However, the primary analysis in this study ignored these studies as it focused on how political orientation shapes health-related outcomes.

For example, the article named Health as an Independent Predictor of the 2017 French Presidential Voting Behavior: A Cross-Sectional Analysis explored how individual health conditions influenced voting choices in France 72. Similarly, Deaths of Despair and Brexit Votes: Cross-Local Authority Statistical Analysis in England and Wales examined how regions with worsening health indicators, such as rising mortality from substance use and economic distress, showed distinct voting patterns during the Brexit referendum 73. Likewise, Swing Voting in the 2016 Presidential Election in Counties Where Midlife Mortality Has Been Rising in White Non-Hispanic Americans suggested that worsening health conditions may have contributed to shifts in political preferences in the U.S 74.

Another study, Independent Relationship of Changes in Death Rates with Changes in U.S. Presidential Voting75, established correlations between demographic health trends and shifts in electoral preferences over time. These studies, while important in understanding the broader interplay between health and political engagement, fall outside the scope of this study, which focuses on how political ideology and governance influence health outcomes (rather than the reverse relationship). While acknowledging the relevance of these perspectives, we opted to exclude them to maintain a clear analytical boundary and prevent this study from becoming overly expansive.

Discussion

This scoping review found 53 studies on the relationship between political orientation, health indicators, electoral behavior, and vaccination. The findings illustrate the significant influence of political ideology on health outcomes and behaviors and describe how health conditions shape civic participation and policy preferences.

Causal pathways linking political orientation and health outcomes

A key finding in the literature refers to the need for a systematic theoretical framework to explain how political orientation influences public health. Democratic governance, policy decisions, and individual political behaviors interact via multiple pathways to shape health outcomes:

Policy determinants of health

Political ideologies significantly influence government priorities regarding healthcare access, resource allocation, and preventive health strategies. Conservative administrations often prioritize market-driven healthcare models, whereas progressive or social-democratic governments typically defend expanded public health coverage and policies that address social determinants of health 41,46,56.

Public trust and compliance

Political orientation shapes trust in institutions and adherence to public health recommendations. Studies suggest that populations in line with conservative ideologies show greater skepticism toward government-led health interventions, affecting vaccination rates and responses to pandemic mitigation measures 30,49,50,51.

Structural and behavioral mediators

Health disparities arise from structural inequalities embedded within political systems. Electoral outcomes can influence health policy priorities and the distribution of public health resources within current healthcare systems, potentially leading to regional disparities in morbidity and mortality over time 32,43,58.

Democratic governance and health resilience

Strong democratic institutions that prioritize transparency, accountability, and civic engagement can lead to better public health outcomes, especially during crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, this relationship is far from universal. Various political systems, including non-liberal regimes, have also achieved positive health results by centralized governance, effective resource mobilization, and robust public health infrastructure, as in countries such as China, Cuba, Japan, and South Korea 9,10. This indicates that quality of governance, institutional capacity, and social trust may be just as important as the formal political system in determining health resilience 27,33,44.

Political polarization significantly challenges the implementation of equitable health policies. The growing ideological divide shapes attitudes toward public health interventions, influencing individual behaviors and State decisions. Partisan resistance to measures such as vaccination campaigns and regulations on noncommunicable diseases shows how political identity can mediate health behaviors. This suggests that the success of public health interventions depends on scientific evidence and on how these measures are politically framed 52,55.

Electoral cycles and health policy stability

Municipal political turnover can serve as a driver of health policy innovation and a source of instability. Intense electoral competition can motivate political leaders to implement noticeable health policy measures. However, the direction of these changes largely depends on the ideological orientation of the new administration, which may either enhance or limit workforce capacity and service provision. Frequent turnover can disrupt policy continuity, limiting the long-term effectiveness of health interventions. While electoral accountability is crucial for governance, ensuring that health policies remain insulated from short-term political fluctuations is essential for sustainable health outcomes 31,57,76.

Mental health and political climate

An increasing body of literature suggests that politically charged events and shifts in governance can exacerbate mental health issues, contributing to heightened levels of anxiety, depression, and stress. Findings indicate that political instability can have differential effects across demographic groups, with individuals identifying with opposition parties experiencing greater psychological distress 59,60,61. Understanding these effects is crucial for developing interventions that address the intersection of political stress and mental health outcomes.

Implications for public health policy and political strategy

The evidence suggests that bridging ideological divides in health policymaking requires reframing health interventions in ways that resonate across political orientations. Public health messaging should prioritize community well-being and collective responsibility, describing health as a communal outcome influenced by social determinants and policy contexts rather than depending only on individual behavior change. Policymakers must also address structural barriers to civic engagement, recognizing that public health and democratic participation are mutually reinforcing.

The relationship between political orientation, health outcomes, and electoral behavior is complex and deeply interconnected. This review shows how democratic governance and political ideology shape health resilience, whereas health disparities influence political engagement. Further research should explore the causal mechanisms behind these dynamics, considering factors such as media influence, socioeconomic status, and policy legacies. Integrating insights from public health, political science, and behavioral psychology can help to develop more effective strategies to reduce health inequities and strengthen democratic participation 28,31,34,36,37,38,48,53,66,67,68,71,76,77,78,79,80.

Some limitations deserve mention. The methodologies and contexts across the included studies made direct comparisons challenging and limited the ability of this study to draw broad conclusions across their settings. Still, this study has notable strengths. Its high methodological rigor followed a registered protocol to ensure transparency and replicability. The entire process adhered strictly to PRISMA-ScR guidelines, providing a structured framework for finding, selecting, and analyzing the literature.

This review has important practical implications. Public health policies and interventions should consider political contexts to enhance effectiveness. For instance, targeted communication strategies could address vaccine hesitancy in conservative regions, whereas areas experiencing heightened political stress could prioritize mental health support. These findings emphasize the need for politically responsive public health strategies that promote more effective and equitable outcomes. This study contributes to the understanding of how political determinants influence public health, highlighting the importance of examining how political orientation shapes health behaviors and outcomes. Future research should focus on local contexts within different countries, particularly Brazil, to develop more nuanced and effective public health strategies. Expanding the scope to include a wider range of health indicators and political contexts would also provide a more comprehensive perspective on the political determinants of health. Despite its systematic and transparent approach, the outlined limitations in this study may have influenced its findings, requiring considered when applied to policy or further research.

This review found a significant gap in the literature regarding the connection between political beliefs and health outcomes, particularly in mental health and vaccination. The limited studies in the area often required consideration of local contexts, especially in Brazil. The lack of comprehensive, context-specific research hinders a full understanding of how political beliefs shape mental health and vaccination behaviors across different populations.

Final considerations and conclusions

This scoping review synthesized the literature on the relationship between political orientation, health indicators, electoral behavior, and vaccination coverage. Analyzing 53 selected studies, it shows key trends in how political structures shape public health and acknowledges the complexity and potential bidirectionality of these relationships. As a scoping review, rather than formally assessing methodological quality, it maps evidence to inform future research and policy discussions.

The findings describe strong associations between political orientation and health outcomes, although the mechanisms driving these relationships require further exploration. Research suggests that conservative-leaning regions often experience poorer health outcomes than liberal areas, largely due to differences in public health policies, resource allocation, and healthcare access. However, the potential for reverse causality - in which health status influences political behavior - remains an area for further investigations.

A well-substantiated pattern refers to the link between political beliefs and vaccination behavior. Studies show that conservative-leaning regions evince lower vaccine uptake and greater vaccine hesitancy, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, emphasizing the need for public health communication strategies that overcome ideological divides.

Another notable trend refers to the impact of political events on mental health. Periods of political instability and electoral polarization have been associated with increased anxiety, depression, and psychological distress across various demographic groups. These findings suggest that political environments directly and indirectly affect mental well-being, reinforcing the need for integrated policies that address health systems and broader social determinants of health.

  • Data availability
    The research data are available upon request to the corresponding author.

Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material

Acknowledgments

We would like to express our sincere gratitude to Adriana Cativelli from Santa Catarina Federal University for her invaluable assistance in constructing the correct indices for database searches. This research received no grant from public, commercial, or not-for-profit funding agencies.

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Edited by

  • Associate Editor
    Evaluation coordinator: Lenaura Lobato (0000-0002-2646-9523)

Data availability

The research data are available upon request to the corresponding author.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    27 Apr 2026
  • Date of issue
    2026

History

  • Received
    17 Mar 2025
  • Reviewed
    09 July 2025
  • Accepted
    22 Jan 2026
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