Open-access Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence of central precocious puberty: A PRISMA-ScR-COMPLIANT scoping review

ABSTRACT

Puberty is a biological maturation process that involves genetic, nutritional, environmental, ethnic, and lifestyle factors. During the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, an increase in referrals for central precocious puberty (CPP) assessment was observed in clinical practice. The aim of this review was to evaluate the incidence of CPP in different countries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. A PRISMA-ScR-compliant scoping review was performed in the MEDLINE and Embase databases using “puberty” and “COVID-19” as search terms. Exclusion criteria were an identifiable organic cause of CPP, genetic disorders or peripheral precocious puberty. The study was registered in OSF. A total of 26 studies with participants from 11 countries were included. Twenty-five studies found a 1.3- to 5-fold increase in the incidence of CPP in girls. In boys, 4 studies found no significant difference in the number of cases, 3 studies found a 2.8- to 3.4-fold increase, and 1 study detected a 75% decrease. Twelve studies reported an increase in the use of electronic devices, sedentary lifestyles, higher Z-scores for weight and body mass index, increased sleep disturbances, and a lower age at the onset of puberty. Seven studies found no significant differences in clinical and laboratory parameters between the pandemic and pre-pandemic periods. There was an increase in the incidence of precocious puberty among girls during the COVID-19 pandemic. This finding was not consistently observed in boys. Increased screen time, reduced physical activity, psychological stress, changes in diet and sleep habits, and the direct effects of SARS-CoV-2 may have caused these results.

Keywords:
Precocious puberty; COVID-19; scoping review; incidence

INTRODUCTION

The process of puberty involves genetic, nutritional, environmental, ethnic, and lifestyle factors (1,2). A change in the pattern of pituitary gonadotropin secretion serves as the hormonal trigger for the onset of puberty, but the complete mechanisms underlying this process are not fully understood (1,3). Factors such as adipose tissue hormones, the gastrointestinal axis, adrenal androgen production, endocrine disruptors, fetal life, and psychosocial stress may influence puberty (3). In addition, the progression of puberty requires the interplay of various genetic and epigenetic factors, as well as an intact and normally functioning hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal (HPG) axis (4).

The classic definition of precocious puberty is the development of secondary sexual characteristics before the age of 8 years in girls and before the age of 9 years in boys (2). It is classified as central precocious puberty (CPP) when there is premature maturation of the HPG axis, primarily marked by altered hypothalamic GnRH pulsatility. In contrast, peripheral precocious puberty (PPP) occurs due to excessive secretion of sex hormones from a tumoral or exogenous source, or as a result of a genetic disorder, independent of gonadotropin secretion (1). Evidence suggests that genetic causes may contribute to the occurrence of CPP and PPP, but they are more frequently associated with CPP. Studies have shown that some rare mutations in the genes MKRN3, DLK1, and MECP2 may be involved in the occurrence of CPP (5-7). Precocious puberty occurs more frequently in girls (15-20 girls for every boy), but the incidence of CPP varies widely across geographical regions (8,9).

Since the second trimester of 2020, after the COVID-19 pandemic began, several centers have observed a significant increase in the number of appointments for evaluation of precocious puberty (10). Different mechanisms have been proposed to explain this phenomenon, including increased screen time and nutritional and psychological factors (10,11). In this context, this study aimed to evaluate the incidence of CPP before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in different countries by means of a scoping review of the literature.

METHODS

Protocol and registration

This scoping review follows the recommendations of the PRISMA Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) protocol (12,13) and has been registered in the OSF (osf.io/27pzj).

Eligibility criteria

Studies comparing the incidence of CPP before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were included. Exclusion criteria were an identifiable organic cause of CPP, genetic disorders, or PPP. There were no language or date restrictions; articles written in languages other than English, Portuguese, and Spanish were considered eligible if they contained sufficient English-language information in the abstract, tables, and figures.

Sources of information, search strategy, and selection process

A systematic search of the MEDLINE (via PubMed) and Embase databases was conducted from the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic (specifically, December 2019) to December 2023. Comprehensive search queries included descriptors (MeSH and Emtree) based on the terms “puberty” and “COVID.” The following electronic search strategy was used: (“puberty” [MeSH Terms] OR “puberty” [All Fields] OR “puberties” [All Fields]) AND (“sars cov 2” [MeSH Terms] OR “sars cov 2” [All Fields] OR “covid” [All Fields] OR “covid 19” [MeSH Terms] OR “covid 19” [All Fields]) for MEDLINE and (‘puberty’/exp OR puberty) AND (‘puberty’/exp OR puberty) AND (‘coronavirus disease 2019’/exp OR ‘coronavirus disease 2019’) for Embase. The final search results were exported to EndNote and duplicates were removed. Two independent reviewers (A.V.C. and C.M.) assessed records for inclusion based on titles and abstracts. Abstracts that did not meet the inclusion criteria or that met the exclusion criteria were discarded. The remaining records and those whose abstracts did not provide sufficient information to decide on exclusion were selected for full-text evaluation, which was carried out independently by the same reviewers. A third reviewer (S.P.S.) resolved disagreements.

Data collection and items

The investigators (A.V.C., C.M., M.G.T., G.G., L.S.) analyzed the selected studies and extracted data using a standardized system. The following information was obtained: first author, year of publication, country, sample size, period of evaluation, number of CPP cases in the pre pandemic and pandemic periods, and clinical and laboratory data evaluated.

Effects measures and synthesis of results

The information extracted from the included studies was summarized in tables.

RESULTS

The search strategy identified 281 citations, of which 216 remained after the removal of duplicates. We excluded 165 articles after screening the titles and abstracts based on predefined exclusion criteria, leaving 51 studies for full-text evaluation. Ultimately, 26 studies were selected for the scoping review after further application of the exclusion criteria. Figure 1 shows a flowchart of the study selection process.

Figure 1
Study flowchart for the scoping review process.

The selected articles were published from 2020 to 2023 and included girls from 11 countries: Italy; Turkey; China; Spain; Argentina; South Korea; Japan; Lebanon; Brazil; the United States; and India (14-39). The majority of studies were identified in Italy (n = 10) and Turkey (n = 4), while the other countries had one or two articles each. The largest sample size was that of the study carried out in South Korea, which used the national population census (21). Tables 1-4 shows the main characteristics of the studies.

Table 1
Positive findings in increased cases of CPP
Table 2
Positive findings in electronic devices use
Table 3
Positive findings in BMI and auxological
Table 4
Hormonal data positive finding

Rates of precocious puberty

Most studies (25 of 26) found an increase in precocious puberty during the pandemic, mainly in females. Some studies reported absolute increases, while others reported incidence rates. A total of 17 studies (16-20,23,25-26,29,31-33,35-39) reported an increase in either the prevalence or the absolute number of cases, ranging from 1.3 to 4.4 times higher when compared with pre-pandemic data. In addition, another 12 studies (14-16,20-22,24,27,30,32,38,39) found a relative increase in incidence rates of precocity (e.g., CPP, accelerated puberty) ranging from 1.37 to 11.21, also compared with previous years.

Regarding sex, most studies were either conducted in the female population only or did not report information on sex, with only seven studies (15,20,25,28-29,31,37) reporting data on male precocity. Three studies (21,25,37) found higher rates of CPP in males during the exposure period (2.15-fold increase or RR 2-2.93), two studies (15,20) reported no difference, and only one study (29) showed a reduction in male precocity rates, but without statistical significance (RR = 0.27, p > 0.05).

Auxological and anthropometric data

The vast majority of studies investigated the interplay between anthropometric data and the variation in rates of precocious puberty. Most studies (n = 15) found no difference in BMI, height, and weight between pandemic subjects and matched controls, except for one study (18) that found a positive association between BMI-SDS and the incidence of central precocious puberty (CPP) in the exposure group during a subgroup analysis.

Seven studies (14,16,19,22-23,27-28) found significant differences in auxological or anthropometric data between exposure groups (i.e., pandemic) and controls. Two studies (14,28) found an earlier chronological age at diagnosis of CPP in the pandemic group. One study (16) found increased rates of weight gain in the 6 months prior to the first consultation in pandemic children. Three studies (22-23,27) found that CPP girls had higher BMI and/or body weight during the pandemic compared with matched controls. On the other hand, two studies (29,34) found a negative association between BMI and CPP in their exposure groups. One study (34) observed a lower BMI in the exposure group in a retrospective study in Argentina, meaning that CPP children evaluated during the pandemic showed lower BMI than children assessed in the previous two years. Furthermore, one study (29) found lower BMI SDS in pandemic girls diagnosed with CPP compared with those diagnosed in 2019.

Radiologic data

Eleven studies (14,18,23,27-28,30-31,35,37-39) included radiologic data in their analysis, mainly ultrasonography (USG) evaluation of uterine or ovarian length/volume or bone age assessment. The majority (n = 8) found no differences between pandemic CPP children and matched pre-pandemic controls, while the remaining studies had conflicting results. Two studies (14,23) found larger uterine and/or ovarian volumes in their exposure groups. Conversely, one study (27) found lower ovarian volumes in CPP girls assessed during the pandemic than in CPP girls assessed in previous years in a retrospective study of Brazilian subjects. Lastly, in terms of bone age, one study (28) found more advanced bone age at diagnosis in the pandemic group.

Laboratory data

Ten studies (14,18-19,22-23,27,32-33,35,37) investigated differences in the hormonal parameters of subjects with suspected or diagnosed precocious puberty. Half of them (18,27,33,35,37) found no overall significant differences in laboratory data between exposure and control groups, except for a higher LH peak after LHRH test (14,18) or basal LH levels (33) in the exposure group. However, the other half of the studies found significant differences in laboratory parameters between pandemic and pre-pandemic CPP children. One study (19) found lower concentrations of SHBG and a higher LH/FSH ratio in pandemic girls, and another study (22) observed increased levels of kisspeptin. Lastly, three studies (14,23,32) found increased hormonal levels in exposure groups compared with matched controls.

Electronic device use and lifestyle factors

Nine studies (14,18-20,22,26,32-33,36) investigated the association between the use of electronic devices and CPP rates during the pandemic. Only two studies (32,36) found no difference between screen/smartphone use by CPP girls during the pandemic and screen/smartphone use by children during previous years. In contrast, the remaining seven studies (14,18-20,22,26,33) found an overall increase in screen time during lockdown. In fact, one study (26) found a significant increase in daily screen time in 2020 compared with 2019 (4.1 vs. 2.6 h/day, p < 0.001). Furthermore, one study (33) observed an increase in average exposure to electronic devices, going from 5-10 hours per week to more than 25 hours per week in 2020.

Regarding other putative risk factors, seven studies (19-20,22,32-33,35-36) explored differences between pandemic and pre-pandemic CPP children. Three studies (19-20,33) observed significantly lower physical activity levels in pandemic CPP children. One study (32) found higher rates of sleep disorders in the exposure group, namely excessive somnolence (p = 0.049), sleep breathing disorders (p = 0.049), and sleep-wake transition disorders (p = 0.005). Moreover, this study observed that the CPP group was more likely to shift to a later bedtime (p = 0.03) during lockdown compared with controls. One study (35) found that children with CPP in the pandemic group had more difficulties with hyperactivity/inattention (p = 0.04). Another study (22) reported that the main risk factors associated with CPP during lockdown were vitamin D deficiency, obesity, consumption of processed meat, exposure to secondhand smoke, and prolonged use of electronic devices. Lastly, only one study (36) observed no differences in exposure to exogenous agents, physical activity, screen use, bedtime routine, or family climate between the CPP group and healthy matched controls during the pandemic.

DISCUSSION

This scoping review evaluated 26 studies that analyzed the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global incidence of CPP. All but one study reported a significant increase in the number of CPP diagnoses in girls. The number of studies that included boys was much smaller, and the results were mixed. However, the three studies that reported an increase in CPP rates in boys had the larger sample sizes. A possible explanation for the conflicting results observed in boys may be the underdiagnosis of CPP in this group. Identifying the onset of puberty in boys is challenging because testicular enlargement, which is the first sign of male puberty, is less evident compared to thelarche and menarche in girls.

A recent review on the incidence of central precocious puberty during the COVID-19 pandemic corroborates the findings in our study (40). The rates of precocious puberty have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and this is associated with factors such as the direct effect of SARS-coV-2 infection, increasing BMI of adolescents over sequential lockdowns, changes in sleep patterns, increased use of electronic devices and levels of stress, and, additionally, potential earlier detection of signs of CPP by parents and carers.

Nutritional status plays an important role in regulating pubertal onset and progression, particularly in girls (41). Children with higher BMI during infancy and childhood have been shown to have earlier pubertal development, and rapid BMI growth is associated with an increased risk of early puberty in girls but not in boys (42-44). Furthermore, an association of earlier menarche with overweight and obesity has been already described in girls (45,46). A recent study reported that the change in the BMI z-score of children increased approximately tenfold during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with previous years (from approximately +0.03/year to +0.34/year). This acceleration in BMI gain was observed in children of different ethnic groups, grades, and sexes, but not in those with overweight or obesity before the COVID-19 pandemic (47). In this review, the majority of studies investigated variations in anthropometric parameters as a proxy for nutritional status. Although some studies reported higher BMI in CPP girls during the pandemic, most studies (n = 15) found no significant association between weight and/or BMI and rates of precocious puberty. These controversial results can be partially explained by biases inherent in retrospective study designs, which often affect the accuracy of their findings. One significant issue is selection bias, as these studies frequently rely on existing records and data that may not accurately represent the general population. When certain demographic or clinical groups are overrepresented, it can skew the results. Another concern is recall bias, which arises in studies where data is collected through questionnaires or interviews. Participants may struggle to accurately remember or report their past BMI or nutritional status, leading to potential misclassification of the data. Additionally, confounding variables can complicate the understanding of the relationship between BMI and precocious puberty. Multiple factors, such as socioeconomic status, genetic predispositions, and environmental exposures, can influence both BMI and the onset of puberty. If these confounders are not adequately controlled for, researchers may draw erroneous conclusions about the association between the two. Measurement bias is also a critical factor to consider, as variability in how BMI is measured can introduce inconsistencies in the data. For instance, some studies may rely on self-reported measurements while others utilize clinical assessments, making it challenging to compare results across studies. Finally, publication bias can impact the perceived relationship between BMI and precocious puberty. Studies that identify significant associations are more likely to be published than those reporting null results, which can lead to an overestimation of the true relationship between the two variables. Together, these biases highlight the need for careful consideration and methodological rigor in studies examining the connections between BMI and precocious puberty.

Another factor contributing to the increase in cases of CPP was the significant reduction in time spent in physical activity during the pandemic. This lack of physical activity may have contributed to worsening body composition, decreased muscle mass, and increased fat deposition (20). In addition, one study showed that intense physical activity is associated with a delay in the age of onset of menarche (48).

Another important aspect is the impact of social stress on puberty, as stressful events are believed to accelerate sexual maturation (stress acceleration hypothesis) (3). Possible mediators of the association between stress/anxiety and pubertal onset include increased expression of the gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA) receptor on the dendrites of CA1 pyramidal cells and increased catecholaminergic activity in the hippocampus (49,50). Previous studies have shown that exposure to early life adversity and traumatic stressful events is associated with earlier puberty and age at menarche, and the experience of COVID-19 quarantine was a particularly stressful experience for parents and children (51-53). A recent elegant study investigated children’s mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic across quarantine and periods of less severe social isolation in Germany. Parental stress was a risk factor that amplified the negative effects of the pandemic on children’s psychological well-being, and while children’s emotional well-being recovered during periods of less severe social isolation, their family-related well-being steadily decreased over the course of the pandemic (54). Another study showed that anxiety in prepubescent girls was associated with the onset of early puberty, regardless of maternal anxiety, BMI, ethnicity, and maternal education (55).

Other factors have also been hypothesized to contribute to the increase in CPP cases during the pandemic, such as the direct effect of SARS-CoV-2, changes in sleep and reduction in melatonin secretion, increased digital screen time, exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals, changes in the microbiota, and vitamin D deficiency (10,11). As expected, most studies investigating changes in screen time found an overall increase in the general use of electronic devices during the pandemic. The main use was for school activities, but also for entertainment or in the hours before sleep (14). In fact, one study (32) reported statistically significantly higher rates of sleep disturbance in CPP girls. Moreover, a study conducted in China with a large sample size (n = 6,482) (22) reported the presence of vitamin D deficiency, consumption of processed meat, exposure to secondhand smoke, prolonged use of electronic devices, and obesity as the main risk factors for central precocious puberty and premature thelarche. As for the direct effect of SARS-CoV-2, it is known that GnRH neurons in the hypothalamus share a common embryonic origin with olfactory bulb neurons; therefore, a direct action of the virus on both these neurons could potentially trigger the onset of puberty, but this association remains to be confirmed in future dedicated studies (11). Finally, compared with the pre-pandemic period, positive associations were found among children with CPP in terms of the use of electronic devices, some of which were related to sleep disorders.

Some limitations of our review must be considered. First, the majority of the studies only provided data on the number of diagnosed cases, without providing information on the exposed population or the number of evaluations during the period. Therefore, the increase in the number of diagnoses may have occurred because of a greater demand for care during the pandemic due to increased parental observation. Second, the associations found as possible risk factors for precocious puberty cannot establish a causal relationship, but only raise hypotheses for further investigation. Third, there was a predominance of studies in Italy compared with other countries. However, the results in the population of girls were consistent worldwide. Despite these limitations, we believe that we have been able to effectively find and summarize the current data on the effect of the COVID-19 lockdown on the incidence of CPP.

In conclusion, the systematic review of the studies published so far has demonstrated a consistent increase in the incidence of precocious puberty in girls during the COVID-19 pandemic, but not in boys. Possible causes for this increased incidence include increased screen time, reduced physical activity, psychological stress, changes in diet and sleep habits, and the direct effects of SARS-CoV-2. Continued monitoring of the incidence of CPP will make it possible to determine whether this phenomenon will continue after the pandemic.

  • Funding:
    this work was funded by the Fundo de Incentivo à Pesquisa do Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre (FIPE/HCPA) and the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq).
  • Competing interests:
    the authors declare no competing interests.

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Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    09 June 2025
  • Date of issue
    2025

History

  • Received
    09 July 2024
  • Accepted
    27 Dec 2024
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